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		<title>Why Texas May Lead the Nation&#8217;s Turnaround:</title>
		<link>http://dfwREALmentor.com/2010/05/07/why-texas-may-lead-the-nations-turnaround/</link>
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		<pubDate>Fri, 07 May 2010 23:50:16 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description><![CDATA[By Daniel Gross &#124; NEWSWEEK
Published Apr 16, 2010
From the magazine issue dated Apr 26, 2010

 
Texas has always been something of a separate country when it comes to politics and culture. Lately, the state seems to be functioning as its own economic republic. While it hasn&#8217;t been immune to the issues plaguing the nation, the housing market, [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>By Daniel Gross | NEWSWEEK<br />
Published Apr 16, 2010<br />
From the magazine issue dated Apr 26, 2010<br />
<a href="http://dfwREALmentor.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/05/texas-FE01-330-vertical.jpg"><img src="http://dfwREALmentor.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/05/texas-FE01-330-vertical.jpg" alt="" title="texas-FE01-330-vertical" width="300" height="200" class="alignright size-full wp-image-205" /></a><br />
 <br />
Texas has always been something of a separate country when it comes to politics and culture. Lately, the state seems to be functioning as its own economic republic. While it hasn&#8217;t been immune to the issues plaguing the nation, the housing market, employment rate, and overall growth in Texas are relatively strong. Chalk some of that up to accidents of geology and geography. But the Texas economic tiger also reflects the conscious efforts of a once parochial place to embrace globalization.<br />
On several measures of economic stress, Texas is doing quite well. The state unemployment rate is 8.2 percent —high, but still one that many states would envy. (California&#8217;s is 12.5 percent; Michigan&#8217;s is 14.1.) It entered recession later than the rest of the country—Texas was adding jobs through August 2008—and started slowly adding jobs again last fall, thanks mostly to its position in the largely recession-proof energy industry.<br />
The Texas housing market also has fared better than many. The mortgage delinquency rate (the portion of borrowers three months behind on payments) is 5.78 percent, compared with 8.78 nationwide, according to First American CoreLogic. That&#8217;s partly because relaxed zoning codes and abundant land kept both price appreciation and speculation down. But it&#8217;s also due to several attributes not commonly associated with the Lone Star State: financial restraint and comparatively strong regulation. Unlike those of many of its neighbors, Texas&#8217;s laws prohibited consumers from using home-equity lines of credit to increase borrowing to more than 80 percent of the value of their homes.<br />
As it has for decades, energy is driving Texas&#8217;s economy. But it&#8217;s not because the state&#8217;s wells are gushing crude. In November 2009, Texas wells produced 1.08 million barrels per day, about half as much as they did in the late 1980s. In recent years, natural gas has been undergoing a renaissance—the state&#8217;s production rose about 35 percent between 2004 and 2008. And Texas has received a big boost from a different, renewable source of energy: wind, where the state&#8217;s size and history of independence has enabled it to jump-start a new industry. Texas has its own electricity grid, which is not connected to neighboring states. That has allowed it to move swiftly and decisively in deregulating power markets and building new transmission lines. &#8220;We can build transmission lines without federal jurisdiction and without consulting other states,&#8221; says Paul Sadler, executive director of the Austin-based Wind Coalition. Texas recently surpassed 10,000 megawatts of capacity, the largest by far of any state and enough to power 3 million homes, Sadler says. Wind energy is also powering employment—creating more than 10,000 jobs so far. And it has attracted foreign companies, including Danish turbine maker Vestas and Spanish renewables giant Iberdrola.</p>
<p>While its political leaders may occasionally flirt with secession, Texas thrives on connection. It surpassed California several years ago as the nation&#8217;s largest exporting state. Manufactured goods like electronics, chemicals, and machinery account for a bigger chunk of Texas&#8217;s exports than petroleum does. In the first two months of 2010, exports of stuff made in Texas rose 24.3 percent, to $29 billion, from 2009. That&#8217;s about 10 percent of the nation&#8217;s total exports. There are more than 700,000 jobs geared to manufacturing goods for exports in Texas, says Patrick Jankowski, vice president of research at the Greater Houston Partnership. &#8220;A lot of it is capital goods that the Asian, Latin American, and African [countries] are using to build their economies.&#8221;<br />
Thanks to that embrace of globalization, the Texas turnaround may help lead the nation&#8217;s economic turnaround, just as California&#8217;s economy was once a bellwether. Now that Texas has become a player in the global economy, we can expect a new kind of swagger.<br />
© 2010</p>
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		<title>Building Your Social Capital &#8211; Biz Netorking</title>
		<link>http://dfwREALmentor.com/2010/02/23/building-your-social-capital-biz-netorking/</link>
		<comments>http://dfwREALmentor.com/2010/02/23/building-your-social-capital-biz-netorking/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 23 Feb 2010 09:06:11 +0000</pubDate>
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		<title>Seller Financed Being Regulated? Stop HR 4173</title>
		<link>http://dfwREALmentor.com/2010/02/08/seller-financed-being-regulated-stop-hr-4173/</link>
		<comments>http://dfwREALmentor.com/2010/02/08/seller-financed-being-regulated-stop-hr-4173/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 08 Feb 2010 20:38:45 +0000</pubDate>
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		<category><![CDATA[HR 4173]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Seller Finance]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Urgent Update: House Passes Wall Street Reform Act HR 4173 Including Mortgage Reform Provisions of HR 1728 Regulating Owner Financing
The proposed legislation that had real estate sellers and buyers legitimately concerned about seller financing passed the house on December 11, 2009, as part of HR 4173. Also known as The Wall Street Reform and Consumer [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Urgent Update: House Passes Wall Street Reform Act HR 4173 Including Mortgage Reform Provisions of HR 1728 Regulating Owner Financing</p>
<p><a href="http://dfwrealmentor.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/02/vote-no-hr-4173.jpg"><img src="http://dfwrealmentor.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/02/vote-no-hr-4173.jpg" alt="" title="vote-no-hr-4173" width="290" height="200" class="alignleft size-full wp-image-176" /></a>The proposed legislation that had real estate sellers and buyers legitimately concerned about seller financing passed the house on December 11, 2009, as part of HR 4173. Also known as The Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act, the bill now goes to be voted on in the Senate.</p>
<p>The original text of HR 4173 was a staggering 1279 pages and intended to provide wide sweeping reform to insurance, derivatives, and the financial services industry. It has now grown to include multiple amendments and the mortgage reform that would impact owner financing.</p>
<p>Before consideration of the Wall Street Act began on the house floor, the House Rules Committee included Title VII, another 200 pages known as the Mortgage Reform and Anti-Predatory Lending Act. This legislation was originally passed as part of HR 1728 on May 7, 2009 (see How Congress Wants to Change Seller Financing). It had fortunately stalled in the Senate but is alive once again with its inclusion in the Wall Street Reform Act HR 4173.</p>
<p>Why the Concern?<br />
The Mortgage Reform Act sets forth strict regulations on mortgage originators. It effectively takes away the rights of private property owners by bringing them under the regulation meant to apply to Wall Street and Big Banks.</p>
<p>Most of us would agree there is need for reform after the bailout of AIG, Citigroup, and other entities the government considered “too big to fail.” However, the inclusion of seller financing is going to hurt the very people it is trying to protect – the average person on main street trying to buy and sell property with some kind of alternative to failing bank loans.  </p>
<p><em>The Mortgage Reform Act applies to mortgage originators and defines mortgage originators. It also provides exclusions for when the law would not apply. The portion that has owner financing worried is the following section 101(3)(e):<br />
</em></p>
<blockquote><p>    (E) does not include, with respect to a residential mortgage loan, a person, estate, or trust that provides mortgage financing for the sale of 1 property in any 36-month period, provided that such loan-</p>
<p>    (i) is fully amortizing;<br />
    (ii) is with respect to a sale for which the seller determines in good faith and documents that the buyer has a reasonable ability to repay the loan;<br />
    (iii) has a fixed rate or an adjustable rate that is adjustable after 5 or more years, subject to reasonable annual and lifetime limitations on interest rate increases; and<br />
    (iv) meets any other criteria the Federal banking agencies may prescribe;</p></blockquote>
<p>Basically the law would apply to someone selling a home and offering a seller carry-back installment sale, except in the above instance and provided the loan meets those 4 requirements. (Anyone else concerned about how vague that last one is…(iv) meets any other criteria the Federal banking agencies may prescribe&#8230;?)</p>
<p>So if you want to sell more than one property with seller financing every 3 years the law applies. That means the licensing, testing, bonding, net worth, and reporting required of mortgage originators. This will limit how many buyers are able to fulfill their dream of home ownership. Buyers often turn to seller financing when banks decline a home loan.</p>
<p>So what can we do? Write your Senator to voice your opinion. Explain how seller financing will hurt the little guy and encourage them to Vote NO on HR 4173. Remember, this is the same Mortgage Reform language that was included in HR 1728, so keep making your voice heard.</p>
<p>    Looking for more information on the proposed legislation? Here are some additional resources:</p>
<blockquote>
<p>   <a href="http://www.pepperlaw.com/publications_update.aspx?ArticleKey=1678"> CLICK HERE</a> – To read a summary of the bill related to mortgage reform as published by the Law Firm of Pepper Hamilton Financial Services.</p>
<p>    See Below&#8230;For a sample letter to use in communicating with your State Senator encouraging him or her to VOTE NO on HR 4173 and HR 1728.</p>
<p>    <a href="http://rules.house.gov/announcement_details.aspx?NewsID=4528">CLICK HERE</a> – To read the section of the bill related to Mortgage Reform (formerly HR 1728 and now included as Title VII of HR 4173 Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act of 2009)</p>
<p>    <a href="http://www.govtrack.us/congress/bill.xpd?bill=h111-4173">CLICK HERE </a>– To track the progress and read the full text of HR 4173 (over 1,279 pages plus numerous amendments).</p>
</blockquote>
<p><em><strong>SAMPLE LETTER:</p>
<p>    Sample Letter – Please Vote No on HR 1728</p>
<p>    Dear Senator [name];</p>
<p>    My name is ____________ and I have been a resident of Texas since 1993.</p>
<p>    I am writing to encourage you to vote NO on HR 1728, the “Mortgage Reform and Anti-Predatory Lending Act”.</p>
<p>    While many of the provisions of the act are positive steps toward mortgage reform, the inclusion of private property owners in the Act (see section 101(3)(e)) will enormously reduce the housing choices of Washingtonians and the ability of homeowners to sell properties in a market already languishing from an abundance of unsold properties.</p>
<p>    As someone in the real estate industry, I encounter hundreds of instances every year where home sellers and buyers came to an agreement for an installment sale on a property that the owner desperately needed to sell (often to avoid foreclosure) and the buyer desperately wanted to buy, but could not raise the down payment needed for conventional financing.</p>
<p>    In every situation, these sales were win-win deals for the buyer and seller:  The seller was able to get rid of an unwanted property to a buyer who loved it, and the buyer was able to get a new home at an affordable payment and interest rate with none of the usual costs (points, application fees etc) inherent in conventional mortgage transactions.</p>
<p>    In Texas, these transactions are already regulated by state law.  A low maximum interest rate is already in place, and both the buyer and seller are protected by other regulations at the state level.</p>
<p>    In defense of private property rights, owners should be exempted from the burdensome and unnecessary rules that this law foists upon them. In its current form, it would all but shut off the “owner financing” market, which is often the only option for many sellers to sell and buyers to buy right now.</p>
<p>    PLEASE DO NOT LET THIS RESTRICTION ON PRIVATE PROPERTY RIGHTS PASS THE SENATE. It is unnecessary to stop private buyers and sellers from transacting business that is beneficial to both of them – -they do not cause the problems this bill seeks to solve. They do not originate these notes to sell to government-sponsored entities (Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, FHA, etc.), but instead hold them as investments, often as a source of long-term income.  HR 1728 would be extremely harmful to thousands of your constituents if passed as currently worded.</p>
<p>    This legislation will exacerbate the problem OF foreclosure, as fewer sellers will be able to sell their homes to avoid it, and CAUSED BY foreclosure, as fewer buyers who have recently experienced foreclosure will be able to re-start the process of home ownership inexpensively and easily by negotiating owner financing.</p>
<p>    Thank you for your consideration.</p>
<p>    Respectfully,</p>
<p>    [Name and Contact Information]<br />
</strong></em></p>
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		<title>FREE Workshop &#8211; Click here</title>
		<link>http://register.dfwrealmentor.com/</link>
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		<pubDate>Tue, 02 Feb 2010 18:57:32 +0000</pubDate>
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		<title>DALLAS HOME VALUES INCREASE</title>
		<link>http://dfwREALmentor.com/2010/01/26/dallas-home-values-increase/</link>
		<comments>http://dfwREALmentor.com/2010/01/26/dallas-home-values-increase/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 26 Jan 2010 21:36:06 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Featured Posts]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Dallas]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Home Prices]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Increase]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[
DALLAS (Dallas Morning News) – Area home prices were positive in November for the first time since September 2007, according to Standard &#038; Poor’s Case-Shiller Home Price Index, released today.
Dallas area residential values increased 1.4 percent in November from one year earlier, which was the best performance of the 20 cities tracked in the monthly [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://dfwrealmentor.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/01/dallas-txdal1.jpg"><img src="http://dfwrealmentor.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/01/dallas-txdal1-300x225.jpg" alt="" title="dallas-txdal1" width="300" height="225" class="aligncenter size-medium wp-image-155" /></a></p>
<p>DALLAS (Dallas Morning News) – Area home prices were positive in November for the first time since September 2007, according to Standard &#038; Poor’s Case-Shiller Home Price Index, released today.</p>
<p>Dallas area residential values increased 1.4 percent in November from one year earlier, which was the best performance of the 20 cities tracked in the monthly survey.</p>
<p>However, Dallas home prices fell 0.6 percent in November 2009 from October, according to Case-Shiller. Home values bottomed out in the index in March 2009 when prices were down 5.6 percent.</p>
<p>Prices declined 5.3 percent for all cities from a year ago.</p>
<p>Case-Shiller tracks the prices of typical single-family homes, excluding condominiums and townhouses, comparing sales of specific properties over time.</p>
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		<title>FHA Waives 90-Day Rule For Flipped Houses</title>
		<link>http://dfwREALmentor.com/2010/01/19/fha-waives-90-day-rule-for-flipped-houses/</link>
		<comments>http://dfwREALmentor.com/2010/01/19/fha-waives-90-day-rule-for-flipped-houses/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 20 Jan 2010 02:34:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Featured Posts]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[Flipping houses just got a little easier.
From The U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development HUD TAKES ACTION TO SPEED RESALE OF FORECLOSED PROPERTIES TO NEW OWNERS
    WASHINGTON – In an effort to stabilize home values and improve conditions in communities where foreclosure activity is high, HUD Secretary Shaun Donovan today announced [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Flipping houses just got a little easier.</p>
<p>From The U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development HUD TAKES ACTION TO SPEED RESALE OF FORECLOSED PROPERTIES TO NEW OWNERS<a href="http://dfwrealmentor.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/01/ar125367772711041.jpg"><img src="http://dfwrealmentor.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/01/ar125367772711041-300x200.jpg" alt="" title="ar125367772711041" width="300" height="200" class="alignright size-medium wp-image-152" /></a></p>
<p>    WASHINGTON – In an effort to stabilize home values and improve conditions in communities where foreclosure activity is high, HUD Secretary Shaun Donovan today announced a temporary policy that will expand access to FHA mortgage insurance and allow for the quick resale of foreclosed properties. The announcement is part of the Obama administration commitment to addressing foreclosure. Just yesterday, Secretary Donovan announced $2 billion in <a href="http://portal.hud.gov/portal/page/portal/HUD/press/press_releases_media_advisories/2010/HUDNo.10-012">Neighborhood Stabilization Program</a> grants to local communities and nonprofit housing developers to combat the effects of vacant and abandoned homes.</p>
<p>    “As a result of the tightened credit market, FHA-insured mortgage financing is often the only means of financing available to potential homebuyers,” said Donovan. “FHA has an unprecedented opportunity to fulfill its mission by helping many homebuyers find affordable housing while contributing to neighborhood stabilization.”</p>
<p>    With certain exceptions, FHA currently prohibits insuring a mortgage on a home owned by the seller for less than 90 days. This temporary waiver will give FHA borrowers access to a broader array of recently foreclosed properties.</p>
<p>    “This change in policy is temporary and will have very strict conditions and guidelines to assure that predatory practices are not allowed,” Donovan said.</p>
<p>    In today’s market, FHA research finds that acquiring, rehabilitating and the reselling these properties to prospective homeowners often takes less than 90 days. Prohibiting the use of FHA mortgage insurance for a subsequent resale within 90 days of acquisition adversely impacts the willingness of sellers to allow contracts from potential FHA buyers because they must consider holding costs and the risk of vandalism associated with allowing a property to sit vacant over a 90-day period of time.</p>
<p>    The policy change will permit buyers to use FHA-insured financing to purchase HUD-owned properties, bank-owned properties, or properties resold through private sales. This will allow homes to resell as quickly as possible, helping to stabilize real estate prices and to revitalize neighborhoods and communities.</p>
<p>    “FHA borrowers, because of the restrictions we are now lifting, have often been shut out from buying affordable properties,” said FHA Commissioner David H. Stevens. “This action will enable our borrowers, especially first-time buyers, to take advantage of this opportunity.”</p>
<p>    The waiver will take effect on February 1, 2010 and is effective for one year, unless otherwise extended or withdrawn by the FHA Commissioner. To protect FHA borrowers against predatory practices of “flipping” where properties are quickly resold at inflated prices to unsuspecting borrowers, this waiver is limited to those sales meeting the following general conditions:</p>
<p>        * All transactions must be arms-length, with no identity of interest between the buyer and seller or other parties participating in the sales transaction.<br />
        * In cases in which the sales price of the property is 20 percent or more above the seller’s acquisition cost, the waiver will only apply if the lender meets specific conditions.<br />
        * The waiver is limited to forward mortgages, and does not apply to the Home Equity Conversion Mortgage (HECM) for purchase program.</p>
<p>    Specific conditions and other details of this new temporary policy are in the text of the waiver, available on <a href="http://www.hud.gov/offices/hsg/sfh/waivpropflip2010.pdf">HUD’s website.</a></p>
<p>Further Reading:</p>
<p>http://portal.hud.gov/portal/page/portal/HUD/press/press_releases_media_advisories/2010/HUDNo.10-011</p>
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		<title>Where Are the Foreclosure Deals?</title>
		<link>http://dfwREALmentor.com/2010/01/11/where-are-the-foreclosure-deals/</link>
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		<pubDate>Mon, 11 Jan 2010 18:37:36 +0000</pubDate>
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				<category><![CDATA[Featured Posts]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Foreclosures]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[For the eighth straight consecutive month, national foreclosure activity in the U.S. was dominated by a small set of states.

As reported by Realty Trac, more than half of October’s foreclosure-related activity came from just 4 states:
	1.	California
	2.	Florida
	3.	Illinois
	4.	Michigan
The remaining Top 10 states in terms of total foreclosure activity included Arizona, Georgia, Texas, Ohio, New Jersey, and Maryland.
Foreclosures are up [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>For the eighth straight consecutive month, national foreclosure activity in the U.S. was dominated by a small set of states.<br />
<a href="http://dfwrealmentor.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/01/foreclosure-Left.jpg"><img src="http://dfwrealmentor.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/01/foreclosure-Left-162x300.jpg" alt="" title="foreclosure Left" width="162" height="300" class="alignright size-medium wp-image-148" /></a><br />
<strong>As reported by Realty Trac, more than half of October’s foreclosure-related activity came from just 4 states:<br />
	1.	California<br />
	2.	Florida<br />
	3.	Illinois<br />
	4.	Michigan</strong></p>
<p>The remaining Top 10 states in terms of total foreclosure activity included Arizona, Georgia, Texas, Ohio, New Jersey, and Maryland.</p>
<p>Foreclosures are up 19 percent from last October, but a deeper look at the RealtyTrac report revealed two positive developments for the housing market.<br />
	1.	Foreclosure activity is down 3 percent from last month<br />
	2.	Foreclosures per Household decreased in 9 of the 10 most heavily concentrated states</p>
<p>Furthermore, Nevada’s foreclosure pace is down 4% from last year.  This is a big deal because Nevada has long led the nation in foreclosure-related activity. Until last month, Nevada’s year-to-year foreclosure rate hadn’t fallen in more than 4 years.</p>
<p>It’s too soon to say that the foreclosure market is drying up, but bargains are getting harder to come by.  First-time buyers and bona fide investors alike have been snapping up property at a furious pace.</p>
<p>According to an industry trade group, distressed homes account for nearly one-third of home resale activity.</p>
<p>That said, buying foreclosures isn’t for everyone.</p>
<p>For one, properties are often sold as-is and may be defective.  The cost of repairs may negate “the deal” or “the steal” — depending on the cost of the home.</p>
<p>Secondly, closing on a foreclosed home can be a 3-month long process. This is because banks rarely process home sale paperwork as fast as a “person” would. A 3-month time frame may not fit your schedule.</p>
<p>In the end, fundamentally, buying a foreclosed home is the same as buying a “regular” home — there’s a contract and a closing.  Most of the steps in the middle, however, are different.</p>
<p>Read the complete foreclosure report and take a peek at the foreclosure heat maps on the RealtyTrac website.  If you like what you see, talk to your real estate agent about what to do next.</p>
<p>There’s still good deals in the foreclosure market, but based on October’s data, they may not last through the winter.</p>
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		<title>Texas Requires Use of All Comparable Properties, Enacts Changes to Tax Appraisal Process</title>
		<link>http://dfwREALmentor.com/2010/01/07/texas-requires-use-of-all-comparable-properties-enacts-changes-to-tax-appraisal-process/</link>
		<comments>http://dfwREALmentor.com/2010/01/07/texas-requires-use-of-all-comparable-properties-enacts-changes-to-tax-appraisal-process/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 07 Jan 2010 20:03:39 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[Texas Requires Use of All Comparable Properties, Enacts Changes to Tax Appraisal Process 
Under a new law that went into effect on Jan. 1, chief appraisers of Texas’s central appraisal (assessment) districts are prohibited from excluding foreclosure sales and properties as comparables that have lost value due to the declining market. House Bill 1038 prohibits [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong><img class="alignleft size-full wp-image-138" title="appraiser" src="http://dfwrealmentor.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/01/appraiser.jpg" alt="appraiser" width="257" height="320" />Texas Requires Use of All Comparable Properties, Enacts Changes to Tax Appraisal Process </strong></p>
<p>Under a new law that went into effect on Jan. 1, chief appraisers of Texas’s central appraisal (assessment) districts are prohibited from excluding foreclosure sales and properties as comparables that have lost value due to the declining market. House Bill 1038 prohibits exclusion of properties in the same neighborhood as the property being appraised solely because the property was sold at a foreclosure sale within the last three years, or has a value that has declined because of a declining market.</p>
<p>Several changes were also recently made to the ad valorem tax process in Texas.  						The passage of Proposition 2 by voters in November 2009 will require that residential property is appraised only based upon its use as a homestead  						regardless of whether the residential use of the property by the owner is considered to be the highest and best use of the property. Additionally, passage of Proposition 3 will allow the state Legislature to dictate the standards and procedures for the appraisal of property for ad valorem tax purposes. Prior to the passage of Proposition 3, this was the responsibility of county governments.</p>
<p>The passage of House Bill 1038, along with the passage of Proposition 2 and 3, is intended to improve the fairness and accuracy of the appraisal process and will help ensure that appraisal  						districts are following uniform appraisal practices and procedures. According to Gov. Rick Perry’s office, “The intent of these measures is to increase transparency and accountability in the appraisal process.”</p>
<p>To view a copy of H.B. 1038, visit  						<a href="http://www.capitol.state.tx.us/tlodocs/81R/billtext/pdf/HB01038F.pdf"> www.capitol.state.tx.us/tlodocs/81R/billtext/pdf/HB01038F.pdf </a> . To view a copy of the legislation that authorized the consideration of Propositions 2 and 3 visit,  						<a href="http://www.capitol.state.tx.us/tlodocs/81R/billtext/pdf/HJ00036F.pdf"> www.capitol.state.tx.us/tlodocs/81R/billtext/pdf/HJ00036F.pdf </a> .</p>
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		<title>The Quick and Expected Climb to 6% Mortgage Rates</title>
		<link>http://dfwREALmentor.com/2009/12/30/the-quick-and-expected-climb-to-6-mortgage-rates/</link>
		<comments>http://dfwREALmentor.com/2009/12/30/the-quick-and-expected-climb-to-6-mortgage-rates/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 30 Dec 2009 19:23:51 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Featured Posts]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mortgage Rates]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[
Guest post by Brian J. Brady


Mortgage rates have been steadily climbing, from a low of 4.5% around November 27, 2009 to above 5% on December 22, 2009.  For the past two months I’ve been warning that this will eventually happen.  It’s not because the economy is recovering; it isn’t recovering.  The reason mortgage rates will [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div id="post-394">
<h1><span style="font-weight: normal; font-size: 13px;">Guest post by <strong>Brian J. Brady</strong></span></h1>
</div>
<div>
<p><img class="alignleft size-full wp-image-127" title="Interest-Rate-Up" src="http://dfwrealmentor.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/12/Interest-Rate-Up.jpg" alt="Interest-Rate-Up" width="250" height="244" />Mortgage rates have been steadily climbing, from a <span style="text-decoration: underline;">low of 4.5% around November 27, 2009</span> to <span style="text-decoration: underline;">above 5% on December 22, 2009</span>.  For the past two months I’ve been warning that this will eventually happen.  It’s not because the economy is recovering; it isn’t recovering.  The reason mortgage rates will rise to 6% or above, sooner rather than later is because that is the &#8220;natural&#8221; market.</p>
<p>About a year ago, the Federal Reserve announced a <span style="text-decoration: underline;">$1.25 Trillion mortgage rates subsidy</span>, by purchasing mortgage-backed securities in the open market, through March, 2010.  Right before the subsidy was announced, mortgage rates were at or above 6%.  The subsidy was referred to as Bernanke’s &#8220;nuclear option&#8221; meaning he was using an extraordinary monetary stimulus to keep mortgage rates artificially low.</p>
<p>One year and 12 months into the 15-month game, we’re at $1.07 Trillion spent on this open market MBS purchase program.  This means that the Fed still has about $150 Billion to spend in three months, so mortgage rates should stay around 5%, right?  After all, the Fed only spent $80 billion/month and they have at least 2 months of money left.</p>
<p><strong>Markets are discounting mechanisms</strong> meaning that traders anticipate how potent the Fed can be.  The Fed is just about out of bullets and MBS traders know it.  Let me try to give you an example of what the Fed did by recanting the explanation I gave, to a Del Mar Realtor, on the beach this summer.</p>
<p><span id="more-394"> </span></p>
<p>I had my daughter (Maggie) get me ten cups of water from the ocean.  Then I drew six lines in the sand, equidistant from each other, and labeled them 6% (on the right) through 4.5% (on the left). I had Maggie stand at 6% and explained that this represented Dec, 2008 mortgage rates.  I announced that my intention was to throw water at her until she moved to the left, away from 6% and towards 4.5%.  I grabbed two cups and threw one at her, then at the line marked 5.5%; Maggie quickly darted to the left.</p>
<p>Then, I threw a cup at her every time she inched to the right.  I explained that Maggie was acting EXACTLY like the MBS traders, naturally gravitating towards the &#8220;natural&#8221; market.  Each time I chucked a cup full of &#8220;stimulus&#8221;, Maggie moved back under 5% and closer to 4.5%.  Once, she got real daring (like the MBS market this past summer) and I threw three cups at her.</p>
<p>At the beginning of December, The Fed had two cups of water.  Now, they only have 1.5 cups of stimulus left.</p>
<p>Maggie, knowing that I only had 1-2 cups left, knew she could afford to get a bit wet in her dart towards 6%.  She faked me by jumping like Rickey Henderson dances off first base; I threw a half cup of water at her.  Then, she defiantly and purposefully walked towards 6%, knowing full well that I would throw my last cup of water at her.</p>
<p>Maggie knew she might get a bit wet but that I was utterly and completely out of water.  She got sprinkled but was safely standing at 6% and I was as bone dry as the Sonoran desert in July.</p>
<p>That’s what I think is happening today.  The MBS traders are purposefully selling mortgage-backed securities, knowing that the Fed will buy every last bond they offer until they are &#8220;bone dry&#8221;.  Everybody is running towards the finish line (6%) now and they don’t care how wet they get along the way.</p>
<p><strong>Mortgage rates are headed to 6% and it probably won’t take until March, 2010 for them to get there.</strong></div>
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		<title>The Mortgage Crisis&#8230;</title>
		<link>http://dfwREALmentor.com/2009/12/04/the-mortgage-crisis/</link>
		<comments>http://dfwREALmentor.com/2009/12/04/the-mortgage-crisis/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 04 Dec 2009 22:01:08 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description><![CDATA[The mortgage crisis has been the main shark in the water over the past couple of years. You should know where that shark is and whether or not it is hungry. The chart below shows you those ferocious fish may still have an appetite:

It shows you that we are past the viscous subprime crisis, when [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The mortgage crisis has been the main shark in the water over the past couple of years. You should know where that shark is and whether or not it is hungry. The chart below shows you those ferocious fish may still have an appetite:</p>
<p><img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-74" title="HousingBust1" src="http://dfwrealmentor.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/12/HousingBust1.jpg" alt="HousingBust1" width="470" height="396" /></p>
<p>It shows you that we are past the viscous subprime crisis, when that shark chewed through the balance sheets of a number of banks and financial institutions, in some cases devouring them whole. However, it is not yet safe to get back in the water:</p>
<p>There are these other slices of mortgages that are not quite as risky as subprime that reset in the next couple of years. Years 2010 and 2011 face big resets in so-called Alt-A and Option ARM loans. What this means is more write-downs and more losses for banks and others who hold these mortgages.</p>
<p><span id="more-366"> </span></p>
<p>Making all this worse is the fact that the housing market has not yet recovered. <a rel="nofollow" href="http://www.t2partnersllc.com/" target="_blank">T2 Partners</a> made the case that the current “stabilization” of the housing market is a head fake. Mostly, it’s due to huge government support of the housing market. But there is still a large inventory of homes out there. And with these resets coming due, we’ve still got a large amount of foreclosures on the horizon.</p>
<p>All the while, the unemployment numbers are still poor. T2 Partners calls the unemployment situation the “most severe since the Great Depression.” The US economy has shed over 8 million jobs in this recession and unemployment – officially – is over 10%.</p>
<p>Plus, it’s not like the average US consumer is in a good position to sail through this crisis. Household liabilities are still high, as this next chart shows:</p>
<p><img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-75" title="DisposableIncome" src="http://dfwrealmentor.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/12/DisposableIncome.jpg" alt="DisposableIncome" width="470" height="345" /></p>
<p>US consumers need to save and rebuild their financial strength. This is why the savings rate is on the rise. This is why, for the first time since the 1950s, household credit debt declined.</p>
<p>As <a href="http://www.dfwrealmentor.com">real estate investors</a>, it seems clear that any idea that depends on discretionary consumer spending – say, buying trendy new sweaters or watches or expensive shoes – faces some big head winds. Better to the stick with the necessities, I say<span style="color: #333333;">.</span></p>
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